Double Counting Death

Double Counting Death

The anticipated stream of Eco Prop has begun now that the Papal Propaganda has hit the cut & paste mainstream media.

So welcome to the New and Improved Sixth Mass Extinction Event.

Stanford Report, June 19, 2015
Stanford researcher declares that the sixth mass extinction is here

By Rob Jordan – Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment

Paul Ehrlich and others use highly conservative estimates to prove that species are disappearing faster than at any time since the dinosaurs’ demise.

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2015/june/mass-extinction-ehrlich-061915.html

Apparently, “there is no longer any doubt” [now where have I heard that before?] that the New and Improved Sixth Mass Extinction Event is coming after YOU and the whole of humanity.

There is no longer any doubt:
We are entering a mass extinction that threatens humanity’s existence.

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2015/june/mass-extinction-ehrlich-061915.html

Apparently, there is a “general agreement among scientists” that Life on Earth hasn’t been this precarious for 66 million years although [strangely enough] the number of well fed Earth Scientists is growing exponentially – just like their hyperbolic scare stories.

There is general agreement among scientists that extinction rates have reached levels unparalleled since the dinosaurs died out 66 million years ago.

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2015/june/mass-extinction-ehrlich-061915.html

This certainty is reassuringly based upon official global species census records covering the last 66 million years “conservative estimates”.

The new study, published in the journal Science Advances, shows that even with extremely conservative estimates, species are disappearing up to about 100 times faster than the normal rate between mass extinctions, known as the background rate.

http://news.stanford.edu/news/2015/june/mass-extinction-ehrlich-061915.html

And guess what: it’s all our fault because we play the drums all day and bonk all night long “economic inequity has” miraculously “altered or destroyed natural habitats”

To history’s steady drumbeat, a human population growing in numbers, per capita consumption and economic inequity has altered or destroyed natural habitats.

This time the science is really settled because there is supporting data from a totally unbiased and disinterested source: International Union for Conservation of Nature.

Bar Chart from IUCN data

Source: International Union for Conservation of Nature
http://news.stanford.edu/news/2015/june/mass-extinction-ehrlich-061915.html

IUCN’s work focuses on valuing and conserving nature, ensuring effective and equitable governance of its use, and deploying nature-based solutions to global challenges in climate, food and development.

IUCN supports scientific research, manages field projects all over the world, and brings governments, NGOs, the UN and companies together to develop policy, laws and best practice.

IUCN is the world’s oldest and largest global environmental organisation, with more than 1,200 government and NGO Members and almost 11,000 volunteer experts in some 160 countries. IUCN’s work is supported by over 1,000 staff in 45 offices and hundreds of partners in public, NGO and private sectors around the world.

http://www.iucn.org/about/

However, there are a few strange things about this histogram.

Firstly, it suggests 54 species went extinct between 1500 and 1600 although most of the Globe was unexplored [at that time] by western [species counting] Earth Scientists.

Between 1492 and 1503, Columbus completed four round-trip voyages between Spain and the Americas, all of them under the sponsorship of the Crown of Castile.

These voyages marked the beginning of the European exploration and colonization of the American continents, and are thus of enormous significance in Western history.

https://en.wikipedia.org/?title=Christopher_Columbus

The first recorded European sighting of the Australian mainland, and the first recorded European landfall on the Australian continent, are attributed to the Dutch navigator Willem Janszoon.

He sighted the coast of Cape York Peninsula in early 1606, and made landfall on 26 February at the Pennefather River near the modern town of Weipa on Cape York.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Australia#History

Antarctica has no indigenous population and there is no evidence that it was seen by humans until the 19th century.

https://en.wikipedia.org/?title=Antarctica#History_of_exploration

Secondly, the last time I checked, vertebrates included such exotica as fish, amphibians, reptiles, birds and mammals.

Vertebrates include the jawless fish and the jawed vertebrates, which includes the cartilaginous fish (sharks and rays) and the bony fish.

A bony fish clade known as the lobe-finned fishes includes the tetrapods, which are divided into amphibians, reptiles, mammals, and birds.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vertebrate

Therefore, although the horrifying histogram is extremely elegant [and traumatically troubling] it does appear to very slightly overstate [aka double counting] the esteemed expert estimates of Earthly extinctions.

Undoubtedly this is just a simple oversight.

Perhaps the histogram includes the number of Spineless Scientists Riding the Global Warming Gravy Train and this element was accidentally labelled: Vertebrates.

Or perhaps the histogram includes the number of Square Kilometres of the Known World and this element was accidentally labelled: Vertebrates.

Or perhaps the histogram includes the Estimated Error for the Extinction Estimates and this element was accidentally labelled: Vertebrates.

And perhaps we will never know why they decided to juice the last 20th century column by an extra ten percent [1900 – 2010] although [again] this could just be another clumsy labelling oversight.

Double Counting

It’s so reassuring to know that we are not being manipulated by Suborned Science, Greedy Governments, Media Moguls and Zany Zealots.

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6 Responses to Double Counting Death

  1. “Despite the gloomy outlook, there is a meaningful way forward, according to Ehrlich and his colleagues. “Avoiding a true sixth mass extinction will require rapid, greatly intensified efforts to conserve already threatened species, and to alleviate pressures on their populations – notably habitat loss, over-exploitation for economic gain and climate change,” the study’s authors write.”

    So the mass-extinction described in the paper could be described as a “contrived-extinction”, rather than a true one.

    The only extinction I have seen so far is that of intelligence among academia – an academia that was originally founded on “Christian Science”, one might add.

  2. malagabay says:

    Footnotes 21st June 2015
    Some links to the gilded regurgitation of the Sixth Mass Extinction Event in the Cut and Paste Propaganda Press.

    Earth ‘entering new extinction phase’ – US study – 20 June 2015

    The Earth has entered a new period of extinction, a study by three US universities has concluded, and humans could be among the first casualties.

    http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-33209548

    ByMichael Casey CBS NewsJune 19, 2015, 6:00 AM
    Humans are behind the mass extinction of animals

    A mass extinction – the sixth of its kind in our 4.5-billion-year history – is well underway and humans are to blame.

    http://www.cbsnews.com/news/humans-are-behind-the-mass-extinction-of-animals/

    The Earth stands on the brink of its sixth mass extinction and the fault is ours
    The rate at which vertebrate species are now dying far exceeds the norm

    Jan Zalasiewizc – Sunday 21 June 2015 00.05 BST

    Life on Earth is in trouble. That much we know. But how bad have things become – and how fast are events moving? How soon, indeed, before the Earth’s biological treasures are trashed, in what will be the sixth great mass extinction event?

    http://www.theguardian.com/environment/2015/jun/21/mass-extinction-science-warning

    Study: 6th mass extinction already underway — and we’re the cause
    Katharine Lackey, USA TODAY 5:16 p.m. EDT June 20, 2015

    The Earth’s sixth mass extinction is already underway — and humans are the driving force behind it, according to a new study.

    http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/nation/2015/06/20/sixth-mass-extinction-study/29028887/

    Sixth mass extinction is here: US study – AFP – Jun. 19, 2015, 8:49 PM

    The world is embarking on its sixth mass extinction with animals disappearing about 100 times faster than they used to, scientists warned, and humans could be among the first victims

    http://www.businessinsider.com/afp-sixth-mass-extinction-is-here-us-study-2015-6

    Earth has entered sixth mass extinction, warn scientists
    Humans are responsible for so many species dying out that we are now in a sixth mass extinction, Stanford University has warned

    By Sarah Knapton, Science Editor – 7:00PM BST 19 Jun 2015

    Earth has entered its sixth mass extinction with animals now dying out at 100 times the normal rate, scientists have warned.

    Humans have created a toxic mix of habitat loss, pollution and climate change, which has already led to the loss of at least 77 species of mammals, 140 types of bird since and 34 amphibians since 1500.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/11687091/Earth-has-entered-sixth-mass-extinction-warn-scientists.html

    The whole unsightly mess can be followed by using the Google News search facility.

    https://news.google.com/news/story?ncl=dB9TY4QlRayy9yMGf-k51p4wL8nXM&q=%22Sixth+Mass+Extinction+Event%22&lr=Spanish&hl=en&sa=X&ei=EmCGVbHUIYqsU9qlgbgN&ved=0CDIQqgIwAA

    On the bright side there is some pushback.

    The Sixth Mass Extinction Is Here, Declare Hysterical Academics
    By News Staff | June 20th 2015 07:37 AM

    There is no longer any doubt: We are entering a mass extinction that threatens humanity’s existence, according to a rather ridiculous claim by doomsday prophet Professor Paul Ehrlich, the same author of the Population Bomb who has been saying this same thing since the 1960s.

    Ehrlich and fellow hysterics Anthony D. Barnosky of the University of California at Berkeley, Andrés García of Universidad Autónoma de México, Robert M. Pringle of Princeton University and Todd M. Palmer of the University of Florida, say there are threatened species, too many humans, and issues with habitat.

    http://www.science20.com/news_articles/the_sixth_mass_extinction_is_here_declare_hysterical_academics-156219

    Arguably the Sixth Extinction actually refers to the extinction of academic science as it is bludgeoned to death by Scare Science and suffocated by Settled Science.

    This academic Sixth Extinction is well documented by Wikipedia.

    Wikipedia 2015.

    Holocene extinction

    The Holocene extinction, sometimes called the Sixth Extinction, is a name proposed to describe the currently ongoing extinction event of species during the present Holocene epoch (since around 10,000 BCE) mainly due to human activity.

    The large number of extinctions span numerous families of plants and animals including mammals, birds, amphibians, reptiles and arthropods.

    Although 875 extinctions occurring between 1500 and 2009 have been documented by the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources, the vast majority are undocumented.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Holocene_extinction

    Wikipedia 2009.

    The Holocene extinction is the widespread, ongoing extinction of species during the present Holocene epoch.

    The large number of extinctions span numerous families of plants and animals including mammals, birds, amphibians, reptiles and arthropods; a sizeable fraction of these extinctions are occurring in the rainforests.

    Between 1500 and 2009 CE, 875 extinctions have been documented by the International Union for Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources.

    However, since most extinctions go undocumented, scientists estimate that during the 20th century, between 20,000 and two million species actually became extinct, but the precise total cannot be determined more accurately within the limits of present knowledge.

    Up to 140,000 species per year (based on Species-area theory) may be the present rate of extinction based upon upper bound estimating.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Holocene_extinction&oldid=333057867

  3. If undocumented species extinction leads to the numbers quoted above but there is a paucity of evidence for those extinctions, then one wonders how extinct species could accumulate anywhere to form the fossil fuels.

    Of course Charles Lyell engineered a wonderful rhetorical device to explain the undocumented and hence missing species – he assigned their existences to the hiatuses embodied in the various geological unconformities of the stratigraphic record. These days missing geological evidence is instead subducted.

    The religious mindset at work – empiricism/experience counts for naught in the presence of dogma.

  4. Jim Coyle says:

    just like election time in Chicago, Count em all and count em often

  5. PETER WILLEY says:

    Society or personal mindsets can be deep, pernicious and all pervading, mostly changing only very slowly, if at all, over a lifetime, even when contradictory evidence abounds. The religious mindset that created God, who then created mankind in his own image, is similar to the scientific mindset that created the concept of the Big Bang, evolution by natural selection, mass extinctions, etc. We are all products of, not the architects of a world or universe that existed, together with its operating code, long before humanity appeared on the scene. Science can only become good science by recognizing this fact, and noting that our theories do not change the way the world or universe operates one iota. “The universe will have the last word”, a pithy Fred Hoyle sentence. Good science is empirically and observation-ally based, and models developed to suit the observations, not the observations skewed to suit a preconceived model.
    Building up the observations may constitute a lifetimes work, as with Hubert Lamb, founder of the CRU, with his “Climate, past ,present and future” books.
    Mindsets appear when the patience required to do the observing, and to collect the data to form a solidly based model is short circuited by preconceived theories of how things must be, or even by science itself being replaced by computer modelling using “known” physics rather than by observation. I blame my genes for my minset.

  6. Pingback: Sick Science | MalagaBay

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