Heinsohn and The Missing Trees

Heinsohn and The Missing Trees

One of the problems researchers encounter as they work their way back through history towards the Heinsohn Horizon is that trees have an alarming tendency to disappear into the oblivion of the Academic Abyss.

Working backwards through the mainstream historical narrative we arrive at the Heinsohn Horizon in the 930s where the mainstream narrative falls into The Academic Abyss and degenerates into fiction, fantasy and fabrication for a period of 700 [phantom] years.

The Heinsohn Horizon: The Academic Abyss
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2015/07/01/the-heinsohn-horizon-the-academic-abyss/

The Aegean Tree Ring Chronology encounters “a very obvious gap” before 1000 CE.

This diagram was kindly provided by Professor Y. M. Kabanov (Moscow).

He took part in a conference in 1994 where the American Professor Peter Ian Kuniholm made a report on the modern state of dendrochronology, presenting this rather noteworthy diagram that had been compiled in the Malcolm and Carolyn Wiener Laboratory for Aegean and Near Eastern Dendrochronology, Cornell University, Ithaca, New York, USA.

In fig. 1.58 we can see fragments of dendrochronological scales for different kinds of timber: oak, box, cedar, pine, juniper, and conifers in general.

All of these scales have a very obvious gap around 1000 a.d.

Aegean Tree Ring Chronology - 1994
Fig. 1.58.
The modern condition of the dendrochronological scales.
One can observe that they are considered to extend until as late as the X century A.D. uninterrupted.
The “scale” pertinent to earlier epochs is merely an assortment of unrelated fragments.

History: fiction or science? – Chronology 1
A. T. Fomenko – Translated from Russian by Michael Jagger
Delamere Publishing – 2003
http://www.chronologia.org/en/seven/chronology1.html

Anatoly Timofeevich Fomenko (born 13 March 1945 in Stalino, USSR) is a Soviet and Russian mathematician, professor at Moscow State University, well known as a topologist, and a full member of the Russian Academy of Sciences.

He is a supporter of radically revising historical chronology.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anatoly_Fomenko

The Absolute German Oak Tree-Ring Chronology encounters a very obvious gap.

The Absolute German Oak Tree-Ring Chronology

The Mystery of the Missing Oak Trees
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/the-mystery-of-the-missing-oak-trees/

The UK Oak Chronologies encounter a very obvious gap.

Missing English Trees

The Mystery of the Missing Oak Trees
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/the-mystery-of-the-missing-oak-trees/

Dendrochronologists bridge these gaps in their individual chronologies by matching tree-ring samples from various sources.

Dendrochronologists even bridge the gaps between disparate chronologies by composite pattern matching.

Bridging The Gap

Lacunar Amnesia in Dendrochronology
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/08/21/lacunar-amnesia-in-dendrochronology/

Unfortunately, patterns matching is largely a subjective skill that frequently produces tenuous bridges where:

1) There are too few samples in the bridge chronology to make it a representative sample.
and/or
2) The overlapping sections of the bridge are too short to be statistically valid.

Unsurprisingly, pattern matching, bridging and dating are highly contentious issues.

In 1998, some details on the shipwreck wood were published [Wiener, 1998: p.314].

It turned out that there had not been a good quantitative match against the Gordion master (by t-, g-, or D- scores).

The wood had been dated against the Gordion master solely on the basis of visual matching – a dubious practice.

The visual match is shown in Figure 3.

The light line represents the Gordion master; it is high for years that had wide tree rings and low for years that had narrow rings.

The heavy line represents the shipwreck wood.
(For comparison, other figures showing visual matches are given in the next section.)

It is clear that there is not a visual match.

In other words, there was no match at all.

The claim that the shipwreck wood had been dated was spurious.
Shipwreck - Uluburun Turkey
Anatolian tree-ring studies are untrustworthy
Douglas J. Keenan
http://www.informath.org/ATSU04a.pdf

Unreported by CRU is that they’ve resiled from the Yamal superstick of Briffa 2000 and Briffa et al 2008 and now advocate a Yamal chronology, the modern portion of which is remarkably similar to the calculations in my posts of September 2009 here and May 2012 here, both of which were reviled by Real Climate at the time.

In today’s post, I’ll demonstrate the degree to which the new Briffa version has departed from the superstick of Briffa 2000 and Briffa et al 2008 and the surprising degree to which it approaches versions shown at CA.
Yamal Chronologies
Figure 5. Annotation of excerpt of RC Figure 2a, showing 2000 and 2008 versions.

CRU Abandons Yamal Superstick – Steve McIntyre
Climate Audit – 28 June 2013
http://climateaudit.org/2013/06/28/cru-abandons-yamal-superstick/

Therefore, it is to be expected that even the most dexterous dendrochronologists will struggle to bridge the Academic Abyss.

UK Oak Composite

The Mystery of the Missing Oak Trees
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/08/22/the-mystery-of-the-missing-oak-trees/
Bristlecone Pines - Sparse Data
Catastrophic Dendrochronology
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/09/02/catastrophic-dendrochronology/

Even when the dexterous dendrochronologists manage to bridge the Academic Abyss the Carbon 14 Age of their samples can expose yawning gaps in even the most carefully choreographed chronologies.

Irish Oak - 1st Millennium Gaps

Dendrochronology: Disastrous Data
https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2014/09/06/dendrochronology-disastrous-data/

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Gallery | This entry was posted in Catastrophism, Dendrochronology, Earth, Gunnar Heinsohn, History, Radiocarbon Dating, Solar System. Bookmark the permalink.

4 Responses to Heinsohn and The Missing Trees

  1. Pingback: Mike Baillie and The Heinsohn Horizon | MalagaBay

  2. Pingback: Digitised Japanese Isotopic Tree Thermometer | MalagaBay

  3. Pingback: Irish Guide to the First Millennium | MalagaBay

  4. Pingback: Deranged Dating: In a Nutshell | MalagaBay

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