Mark Blyth: Global Trumpism

In a very straight talking interview Mark Blyth defines Global Trumpism as a “revolt against technocracy” and a “revolt against governance by unrepresented, unelected, undemocratic elites”.

Well here is the thing.

My side is very pro European, but I am against the Euro, so if I still lived in the United Kingdom I would have an interesting choice.

If you look at Larry Elliott in the Guardian, Larry has said he thinks he should vote for exit because this might be the existential crisis that blows up the Euro.

Now, why would you want to blow up the Euro because that would be terrible etc etc.

Because the long run effect of the Euro is going to be to drive Western European wages down to Eastern European levels in global competition for export share with the Chinese.

That’s one interpretation as to where this all goes.

And that’s going to be fine for the Eastern Europeans coming up and it’s going to be great for very efficient exporters in the North.

It’s going to be an absolute disaster for France and parts of Italy – if not all of Italy and certainly for Greece.

Now, if you have a system in which one side is running a surplus and the other side isn’t allowed to run a deficit because of the rules the only thing the other side can do is permanently contract their economies to allow someone else to make money selling BMWs.

I don’t see that ending well.

So perhaps it’s better to nip it in the bud when you’ve got the chance.

Now the thing with Brexit is I don’t think that’s what the debate is all about.

This is Trumpism.

Everybody’s got a version of it.

Trumpism – remember Donald Trump?

Right. OK.

So here’s what I mean by Trumpism

For the past 25 years, particularly the centre-left has told the bottom 60% of the income distribution in their countries the following story:

Globalisation is good for you.

It’s awesome.

It’s really great.

We’re going to sign these trade agreements.

Don’t worry there will be compensation.

You’ll be fine.

You’ll all end up as computer programmers.

It’ll be fantastic, right?

And by the way we don’t really care because we’re all going to move to the middle because that’s where the voters are and they’re the people with money and those are the ones we really care about.

So you get this shift under Schroeder.

You get the same thing under Blair with New Labour – whatever.

And you make that move.

And you basically take the bottom 30% of the income distribution and you say:

We don’t care what happens to you.

You’re now something to be policed.

You’re now something to have you behaviours changed.

We’re going to nudge you into better patterns as the Americans like to say.

It’s a very paternal, it’s a very patronising relationship.

This is no longer the warm embrace of Social Democracy, arm in arm in solidarity with the working classes.

They’re there to be policed and excluded in their housing estates.

So that you can feel safe in your neighbourhoods.

So that you can have your private schools.

They have their public schools which you don’t really want to pay taxes for any more.

So once this has evolved over 20 years you have this revolt.

Not just against Brexit.

It’s not about the EU.

It’s about the elites.

It’s about the 1%.

It’s about the fact that your parties that were meant to serve your interests have sold you down the river.

They’re all the same.

Think how ridiculous this is.

Think of this Scottish Independence thing.

So these guys vote to stay in because the entire British establishment links arm in arm and says:

Don’t do it.

Now, you’ve got to wonder why because ultimately who is going to get hurt if they do it?

People with money.

So they’re saying:

Don’t do this.

So they go:

Oh, alright then, we won’t do it.

So then the SNP, the anti-austerity party, they’re like:

Ah well. We didn’t win that.

But, you known, we’re still in power.

Great. On you go.

So what happens next?

If apparently there’s going to be a Brexit, a vote to get out, then the Scots are going to vote to get back in.

This is fun.

So you’ve going to give up George Osborne, who is an austerity chancellor, for who?

Dr. Schauble.

So your nice little Scottish welfare state is going to be really well protected by the tender embrace of the Germans.

How is that working out for the Greeks?

People aren’t thinking this one through.

This is basically a revolt against technocracy.

It’s a revolt against governance by unrepresented, unelected, undemocratic elites.

And having had a government where every single district in your country says:

No chance.

61% say no chance.

And then the result is:

We’re going to do it anyway.

You’re basically proving to people that democracy is irrelevant.

So this is Global Trumpism.

It’s a no-win scenario until basically the elites figure out that, at the end of the day, as I like to say to my American hedge fund friends:

The Hamptons is not a defensible position.

The Hamptons is a very rich area on Long Island that lie along low-lying beaches.

Very hard to defend a low-lying beach.

Eventually, people will come for you.

An extended version of the Athens Live interview.

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25 Responses to Mark Blyth: Global Trumpism

  1. malagabay says:

    John Pilger talks about elector “rebellion” in the United Kingdom…

  2. TimE. says:

    “This is basically a revolt against technocracy. It’s a revolt against governance by unrepresented, unelected, undemocratic elites.”

    Technocracy: The government or control of society or industry by an elite of technical experts.
    I do believe that a Technocracy is embodied in the Principles of The Georgia Guidestones – and I will admit – I do not find those goals objectionable in any way – as we live on a Finite Planet with Finite Resources; in fact – I will be making a Pilgrimage there later this month – because I want to see them in person.

    A message consisting of a set of ten guidelines or principles is engraved on the Georgia Guidestones in eight different languages, one language on each face of the four large upright stones. Moving clockwise around the structure from due north, these languages are: English, Spanish, Swahili, Hindi, Hebrew, Arabic, Chinese, and Russian.

    1. Maintain humanity under 500,000,000 in perpetual balance with nature.
    2. Guide reproduction wisely — improving fitness and diversity.
    3. Unite humanity with a living new language.
    4. Rule passion — faith — tradition — and all things with tempered reason.
    5. Protect people and nations with fair laws and just courts.
    6. Let all nations rule internally resolving external disputes in a world court.
    7. Avoid petty laws and useless officials.
    8. Balance personal rights with social duties.
    9. Prize truth — beauty — love — seeking harmony with the infinite.
    10. Be not a cancer on the earth — Leave room for nature — Leave room for nature.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Georgia_Guidestones

    Where are Europe’s energy supplies located? Mostly in foreign countries (Middle East – BTW – how are those wars and the killing working out for Europe?) – and those supplies must be imported – and Euros exported – or else your industrial civilization – and unsustainable population – would collapse – and of course – as those supplies become more expensive and scarce (think depletion) – the cost will only increase – leading to even greater austerity, and eventually, collapse.

    Welcome to Our Finite World – and some reality:

    “Recently, a Spanish group called “Ecologist in Action” asked me to give them a presentation on what kind of financial crisis we should expect. They wanted to know when it would be and how it would take place.

    The answer I had for the group is that we should expect financial collapse quite soon–perhaps as soon as the next few months. Our problem is energy related, but not in the way that most Peak Oil groups describe the problem. It is much more related to the election of President Trump and to the Brexit vote.

    I have talked about this subject in various forms before, but not since 2016 energy production and consumption data became available. Most of the slides in this presentation use new BP data, through 2016. ”

    https://ourfiniteworld.com/

    How much longer can BAU continue in the US? – from the EIA:
    U.S. crude oil refinery inputs averaged over 17.1 million barrels per day
    during the week ending June 30, 2017, 251,000 barrels per day more
    than the previous week’s average. Refineries operated at 93.6% of their
    operable capacity last week. Gasoline production increased last week,
    averaging about 10.4 million barrels per day. Distillate fuel production
    decreased last week, averaging 5.1 million barrels per day.

    U.S. crude oil imports averaged over 7.7 million barrels per day last
    week, down by 274,000 barrels per day from the previous week. Over
    the last four weeks, crude oil imports averaged over 7.9 million barrels
    per day, 1.0% below the same four-week period last year. Total motor
    gasoline imports (including both finished gasoline and gasoline blending
    components) last week averaged 739,000 barrels per day. Distillate fuel
    imports averaged 108,000 barrels per day last week

    https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/pdf/highlights.pdf

    Likely – BAU will not continue for long…. From Before The Collapse:

    If gasoline is the lifeblood of commerce, then the US is bleeding out.

    As part of our final analysis of Capitalism the respected BW Hill argues against the World War solution:

    ‘The world’s petroleum industry has now accumulated $2.5 trillion in debt. That debt is backed primarily by the value of their reserves. Upon becoming apparent that the value of those reserves will rapidly be approaching zero, havoc will break out in the financial sector. There will be $100s of trillions in the derivatives market that will suddenly have no solvent counter party.

    Viewing the reported growth in inventory builds, and how much the ETP Model informs us that the inventory must be increasing, we expect this situation to reach a crisis point sometime in 2017 or 2018. It seems highly unlikely that either of the world’s nuclear super powers, the US and Russia, will revert to open warfare as a result. Neither would have anything to gain by such action, and much to lose. It does seem likely that the Middle Eastern powers will use the situation as an excuse for attempting to destroying each other. In other words we expect devastation to result for the Middle East.

    With the Middle East in flames, and much of their capacity to produce destroyed the world will suddenly see a massive decline in petroleum supplies. Price should increase, but the Maximum Affordability Function informs us that will be short lived. The end result will be that Russia, and a few high quality Western fields will remain as the sole sources for the world’s petroleum supply. The economy will be in shambles, and there will be little incentive, and even less means to support wide spread, high tech warfare.’

    What does BW Hill mean by the ‘Maximum Affordability Function’? The price limit of any good is affordability, if you can’t produce at a price potential buyers can bear then you’ll make no sales and be bankrupted quite quickly. The maximum price they can bear is determined by their income. And their income is ultimately determined by the amount of net energy gain available to their social group.

    https://beforethecollapse.com/2017/03/17/charts-of-us-gasoline-sales-the-us-is-bleeding-out-badly-retail-sales-by-refiners-have-collapsed-by-up-to-90-in-some-states/

    “You’re basically proving to people that democracy is irrelevant”.

    The trouble is that Democracy can be dangerous – and lead to The Tragedy of The Commons – as groups compete for resources and dominance; note that I crossed out FREEDOM in the original and replaced it with “exploitation by Groups” – where does the majority of Europe’s energy supplies to power Industrial Civilization come from? (it is not Europe!)

    In 1944, 29 reindeer were moved to St. Matthew Island. The reindeer thrived by “exploiting” (making the best use of) their rich “commons”.

    The island had no natural predators to keep the reindeer population in check, so the population swelled to 6,000 animals during the next 19 years. Suddenly the commons was depleted and the population crashed until only 42 animals remained alive! The reindeer could have avoided the crash by keeping the population within the carrying capacity of the island, but reindeer politics couldn’t manage it, so naturally the population crashed.

    In his 1968 classic, “Tragedy of the Commons”, Garrett Hardin illustrates why the reindeer crashed and why communities everywhere are headed for tragedy—it’s because (freedom) exploitation by groups in the commons (Earth) brings ruin to all:

    http://dieoff.com/page109.htm

    Industrial Civilization – powered by Fossil Fuels on a finite Planet with Finite Resources has a very short lifetime – it was a once chance to evolve into something higher – or consume all the easily obtainable resources on the Planet to live a Corporate driven Consumer high consumption materialistic lifestyle. Humans choose the latter – and it likely leads to extinction.

    When the lights go out, and all systems fail – the die off will begin – as the plagues from the forgotten past take over: “As cities became crowded, they also became the nesting places of waterborne, insect borne, and skin -to-skin infectious diseases that spurted out unchecked and seemingly at will. Typhus was most common, reported Thomas Sydenham, England’s first great physician, who lived in the 17th century and studied early history. Next came typhoid and relapsing fever, plague and other pestilential fever, smallpox and dysentery’s-the latter a generic class of disease that includes what’s known as dysentery, as well as cholera”.

    http://theplumber.com/plagues-epidemics/

    “It has often been said that, if the human species fails to make a go of it here on Earth, some other species will take over the running. In the sense of developing high intelligence this is not correct. We have, or soon will have, exhausted the necessary physical prerequisites so far as this planet is concerned. With coal gone, oil gone, high-grade metallic ores gone, no species however competent can make the long climb from primitive conditions to high-level technology. This is a one-shot affair. If we fail, this planetary system fails so far as intelligence is concerned. The same will be true of other planetary systems. On each of them there will be one chance, and one chance only. (Hoyle, 1964; emphasis added)”

    http://www.dieoff.org/page125.htm

    Adapt and enjoy the abundance while it lasts – the cheap energy has nearly been all burned up – austerity comes next.

    • Thx1138 says:

      Six thousand reindeer once lived on a remote island in the Bering Sea that was briefly their paradise. In what has become a classic story of wildlife boom and bust, no reindeer live on St. Matthew Island now. Three scientists just looked back at the St. Matthew’s reindeer herd and found that an extreme winter probably pushed the stressed animals to their deaths.

      The story began in August 1944, when the U.S. Coast Guard corralled 29 Nunivak Island reindeer on a barge and floated the animals north to St. Matthew Island, more than 200 miles away and one of the most remote places in Alaska. Coast Guard officials had earlier in the year placed a radio navigational system on the island, along with 19 men. The reindeer were intended as a roaming food source should the men be cut off from supply shipments.

      The men never shot a single reindeer; the Allies were winning the war, and the Coast Guard pulled its men from the island. They left the reindeer.

      This was a fine situation for the animals at first — their only predators had disappeared, leaving them on a 32-mile long, four-mile wide island rich with their favorite food, lichen.

      Biologist Dave Klein first stepped on the island in 1957, 13 years after the Coast Guard had abandoned it. Klein, 82, now a professor emeritus for the University of Alaska Fairbanks’ Institute of Arctic Biology, hiked the length of the island with field assistant Jim Whisenhant in 1957. They noted that the herd of 29 reindeer had increased to more than 1,300 animals.

      Klein returned to the hard-to-reach island six years later. He could hardly believe how many reindeer were there.

      “We counted 6,000 of them,” Klein said in a 2003 interview. “They were really hammering the lichens.”

      The scene, with its 47 reindeer per square mile, foreshadowed a crash ahead.

      That’s what Klein found on a return to the island in the summer of 1966. In the three years since his last visit, the herd of 6,000 had shrunk to 42, a number that included only one male that had abnormal antlers and probably was unable to reproduce. Reindeer skeletons littered the tundra.

      The herd had busted. During the next decade or so, all the reindeer of St. Matthew Island died off; the largest mammal there now is the arctic fox.

      Klein found the story so intriguing that he mentioned it often over the years in conversations about the Bering Sea.

      Recently, he shared his thoughts with two climatologists; he suspected that an extreme winter might have forced the stressed population of reindeer to the brink. Soon, Martha Shulski and John Walsh were helping Klein reconstruct the events of the extraordinarily harsh winter of 1963 to 1964.

      Shulski, a former Alaska climatologist who is now director of the High Plains Regional Climate Center at the University of Nebraska, and Walsh, chief scientist at UAF’s International Arctic Research Center, dug up weather records from the nearest official weather station to St. Matthew.

      That station is located 200 miles south on St. Paul Island. The scientists pored over a reanalysis of area weather variables provided by the National Centers for Environmental Prediction.

      They found — and described in an article in the November/December 2009 issue of the magazine Weatherwise — that the winter of 1963-1964 was one of the most extreme on record in the northern Bering Sea.

      During February and March 1964, the reindeer experienced almost constant windstorms, the nastiest of which featured an atmospheric pressure typical of a Category 3 hurricane. Blasting northerly winds combined with below-zero air temperatures to create wind chills below minus 40 degrees Fahrenheit for a week straight in early February, and a low wind chill reading of minus

      71.5 degrees Fahrenheit on March 13, 1964, when the air temperature was minus 34 degrees and the wind blew 30 mph.

      Perhaps even more damaging to the reindeer were record amounts of snow. St. Paul, Alaska, received 140 inches of snow during the 1963-1964 season.

      “The higher snow depths and hard crusts on the snowpack … meant the reindeer were virtually prevented from obtaining any of their already depleted food resources,” the scientists wrote in Weatherwise. They concluded that only 42 reindeer survived the storm. When Klein examined the skeletal remains during his 1966 visit, he saw that the bones of fetal reindeer nestled within the bones of their mothers revealed that “most of the pregnant females had died about the time of the storms or shortly thereafter.”

      The reconstruction of extreme weather events has given Klein some closure on a mystery he had pondered since he visited the island in the late 1960s, and all three scientists now appreciate the vulnerability of some groups of animals.

      “In isolated or fractured environments, wildlife populations can be extinguished by severe weather events,” John Walsh said in a presentation about the St. Matthew reindeer he gave at the 2009 Fall Meeting of the American Geophysical Union in San Francisco.

      • Thx1138 says:

        While the actual cause of death of the reindeer was catastrophic weather conditions causing starvation the proximate cause was the ignorant and short-sighted intervention by Military Officers removing the reindeer from their natural habitat and placing them into a limited environment where they had no chance of migration or escape using their own innate sensibilities and intelligence.

      • TimE. says:

        And a Human Being – who – it must be admitted – doesn’t seem to be adapted tgo Planet Earth = belongs – where?

        A Freak of evolution – if you so choose to believe.

        This video segment from NOVA: “Judgment Day: Intelligent Design on Trial” reveals how genetic evidence helped to confirm an important component of Darwin’s theory of evolution by natural selection: the common ancestry of humans and apes. In particular, it explains that humans have one fewer chromosome pair in their cells than apes, due to a mutation found in chromosome number 2 that caused two chromosomes to fuse into one.

        http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/evolution/library/07/3/l_073_47.html

  3. malagabay says:

    The problem with the Peak Oil argument is that it’s based upon the quaint notion that oil is an ancient and very finite fossil fuel derived from decomposing dinosaur detritus.

    Upon reflection the Peak Oil prediction made by Marion King Hubbert was only a wild guess because nobody can actually quantify the Earth’s crude oil reserves or the rate at which they naturally accumulate and recharge.

    Nuclear Energy and the Fossils Fuels – 1956 – Marion King Hubbert
    Shell Development Company

    http://www.hubbertpeak.com/hubbert/1956/1956.pdf

    After nearly 160 years of “industrial exploitation” the BP Statistical Review of World Energy indicates that global proved reserves of oil have increased by 27% during the last decade to reach a total of 1,687.9 billion barrels at the end of 2013.



    Clearly, consumers started experiencing the shock of Peak Oil pricing when governments started demanding their Hubbert Inheritance.

    With governmental assistance Peak Oil pricing has become a self-fulfilling prophecy all because Settled Science promotes the quaint notion that oil is an ancient and very finite fossil fuel derived from decomposing dinosaur detritus.

    See: https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2015/01/04/the-hubbert-inheritance/

    There are also large reserves of coal, natural gas and methane.

    See: https://malagabay.wordpress.com/2013/11/11/methane-myopia-2-energy-science/

    And it’s always worth remembering: “Necessity is the mother of invention”.

    The system may crash / is crashing [delete as appropriate].

    But it’s more likely to be a financial crash triggered by [ironically] an over supply of cheap oil…

  4. TimE. says:

    “Oil is an ancient and very finite fossil fuel derived from decomposing dinosaur detritus”

    It doesn’t matter what oil is composed of – it needs to be found in sufficient quantities – and pumped at rates which will continue to increase GDP along with the available amount of energy per person. Sure, the creamy nougat which makes up Planet Earth’s center may be producing oil – it’s just not producing the oil fast enough to allow increased consumption per person – and now depletion is setting in.

    While nuclear energy is a nightmare – just a few select items from ENE News:

    Record radiation detected at Fukushima nuclear plant — Multiple locations register highest levels ever measured — “Radioactive materials in groundwater toward the ocean”

    http://enenews.com/record-radiation-detected-at-fukushima-nuclear-plant-multiple-locations-register-highest-levels-ever-measured-radioactive-materials-in-groundwater-toward-the-ocean

    Alarming mass die-off on California beaches — “Extremely high” number of sick and dead animals — Seabirds, sea lions, dolphins affected — Experts: Never seen this many sick birds — “How many have to die before somebody cares?”

    http://enenews.com/alarm-massive-die-off-on-california-beaches-extremely-high-number-of-sick-and-dead-animals-seabirds-sea-lions-dolphins-affected-experts-never-seen-this-many-sick-birds-how-many-h

    Nuke Pro may know – or not – what he is describing:

    “Krill use a tough biological structure called Chitin. Chitin absorbs man-made radiation at rates of 200 to 20,000 background levels. Radiation destroys the bonds that make Chitin a useful structure.

    So even “low” levels of man-made radionuclides, can bio-magnify and kill the krill, meaning less clouds, and hotter temperatures. Incidentally the krill sink pretty quickly, taking the radiation to Davy Jones Locker.

    Obviously we had an el Nino, but on top of that we had the progression of Fukushima fallout and continued releases into the Pacific, a so called “blob” of radiation as measured by Woods Hole Oceangraphic Institute, which moved pretty in line with the hottest of the blobs. This radiation/krill/cloud heating event superimposed on top of the El Nino.

    We saw the results with half the whales gone from Hawaii in 2016 and I participated in the 2017 NOAA whale count, but haven’t reviewed their synopsis, not sure if it is completed. And of course on the West Coast, the mass die-offs should be readily apparent to anyone not living under a rock. One main basis of the ocean food chain, the krill, have been toasted by radiation”.

    http://www.nukepro.net/2017/05/massive-sea-life-die-offs-on-west-coast.html

    But we can be certain that the ruined nuclear reactors at Fukushima are pumping radioactive waste into the Pacific Ocean – and seems to be headed for the US West Coast.

    Steve Kopits talks about how Capex dramatically increased – while discoveries tanked and new production couldn’t offset losses in old production – while new discoveries were often of inferior quality with increased costs of production.

    “The Center on Global Energy Policy hosted a presentation and discussion with Steven Kopits, Managing Director, Douglas-Westwood, on the different approaches to global oil market forecasting. Mr. Kopits’ remarks focused on both supply and demand-based methodologies, including how these models result in different assumptions and implications for oil supply (OPEC and non-OPEC), total oil demand and oil price. He also reviewed other key drivers such as changes in the transport sector and overall economic growth and discussed how these variables can further impact oil demand and supply”.

    “But it’s more likely to be a financial crash triggered by [ironically] an over supply of cheap oil…”

    Agreed – because the cost to produce the *NEW OIL* isn’t covered by the current price of oil – and once the cheap oil is gone – which we are now burning because it is cheap – Consumers can’t afford the price of the new oil – You have just restated what B.W. Hill says!

    “What does BW Hill mean by the ‘Maximum Affordability Function’? The price limit of any good is affordability, if you can’t produce at a price potential buyers can bear then you’ll make no sales and be bankrupted quite quickly. The maximum price they can bear is determined by their income. And their income is ultimately determined by the amount of net energy gain available to their social group.”

    “Necessity is the mother of invention”.

    I’m just waiting for my Mr. Fusion!

  5. TimE. says:

    I’m even open to the possibility of Over Unity Energy Production – but is has to be made practical – it is a very unique and intriguing Physics –

    “You have a choice: Either continue to believe the fantasy that physicists and the physics media have been diseminating and live in a world frozen in the twentieth century, enslaved by environment-polluting fossil fuel and nuclear energy technologies, or open your mind to the larger truth that over unity energy production is a reality and help build the world of the future, one that will bring humanity inconceivable prosperity. Subquantum kinetics will play an important role in this world view transformation. It not only allows the possibility of spontaneous energy creation, it maintains that it is a fact of Nature.”

    http://etheric.com/overunity-energy-production/

  6. E says:

    Randell Mills appears to be getting close to a usable technology

    • malagabay says:

      For more info:
      http://brilliantlightpower.com/theory/

      The Grand Unified Theory of Classical Physics
      Dr. Randell L. Mill – September 2016 edition
      Book download:
      http://brilliantlightpower.com/book-download-and-streaming/

      • TimE. says:

        That brings up Maxwell’s Equations – so I must ask – which equations are you using?

        And at this point I will admit that I am mathematically deficient in my understating – but Maxwell’s Equations were modified by Heavyside – which are used today – the difference is astounding!

        From Tom Bearden:

        “The Maxwell-Heaviside theory of electrodynamics is now well over a century old, and is actually a serious truncation of Maxwell’s 1865 theory of 20 equations in 20 unknowns (those are specifically listed in the original published paper in 1865). Because it was “tainted” with a higher group symmetry algebra (quaternions), even Maxwell himself came under intense pressure to simplify it, after the publication of the first edition of his famous Treatise in 1873. Consequently, Maxwell was rewriting and greatly “watering down” his own Treatise, having finished rewriting and greatly reducing some 80% of it at the time of his death in 1879. The second edition and third edition, therefore, are NOT the original Maxwellian theory, but a very serious truncation.

        The further great “simplification” occurred by several scientists after Maxwell’s death, in the 1880s, and notably by Heaviside, Hertz, and Gibbs. The equations taught today at university as “Maxwell’s theory” are pale shadows, and those equations themselves are actually the equations and notations of Heaviside, further “symmetrically regauged” by Lorentz (which very neatly threw out all COP>1.0 EM systems taking their excess energy from the vacuum in the form of free asymmetrical regauging). At the time these altered Maxwell equations were adopted in general, it occurred in a short “debate” (mostly in the journal Nature) where the vectorists simply discarded the quaternists’ work, etc. It was not done by “sweet science”, but by sheer dogma and individual preference for “simplicity”.

        The present Maxwell-Heaviside theory is completely unable to deal with the massless interactions and the force-free entities that interact with mass to produce force. The present EM does not even calculate “the” fields or potentials themselves, but only their “point intensities” as defined by the assumed interaction of the actual geometrical fields with a unit point static charge. If the charge is in particle resonance at the frequency of the field energy bathing it, the very “definition” of the classical field is thereby altered, and one can extract and input more energy than is theoretically predicted by the standard “static charge” based definitions of field and potential intensity.

        Make of it what you will… For it is beyond me – but i can understand the implications – free energy from the ether..

        http://www.cheniere.org/references/maxwell.htm

    • Thx1138 says:

      The story of Blacklight Power is a startling case demonstrating how Cleantech investors can go seriously astray. The founder, Randell L. Mills, claimed in 1991 to have refuted quantum mechanics and developed a new energy source relying on previously unknown “hydrinos,” and received tens of millions of dollars in investment despite widespread skepticism. He himself said, “It’s a revolution very fitting to the 21st century, in a chain of revolutions man has had with fire, steel, fossil fuels, and Maxwell’s description of electromagnetism. This is grandiose stuff…”

      Others agreed, at least with the importance of the claims. “I would say without reservation that if Mills were proved right, it would revolutionize physics and solve the world’s energy problems overnight, and he would easily win a Nobel Prize and become a multibillionaire,” said John Connett in 2009. (Connett was expressing skepticism.)

      Cleantech advocates were not deterred. A writer on the Huffington Post said, “Earth2Tech writes that the new BlackLight Power deal doesn’t prove much except a willingness out there to take risks. Of course, that’s encouraging in and of itself.” I would disagree, as some risks are clearly not worth taking, in particular, investing in Blacklight Power.

      Indeed, some small utilities were said to have signed contracts years ago for Blacklight’s revolutionary new power system, including Escatado, and a number of experts expressed interest and optimism, including from NASA and Siemens Westinghouse. Academic validation has been repeatedly claimed, though mostly from chemists it seems.

      It’s worth stepping back and considering the claims made by Mills. The scientific claims include that he has refuted quantum mechanics, can explain “mysteries of the sun” and has identified dark energy. His inventions can: produce power very cheaply through “’shrinking’ the hydrogen atom’s orbitsphere” with a power density of 100 billion watts per liter. Additionally, the materials created can act as an explosive or propellant, make ships rustproof and endowed with stealth properties, produce an anti-gravity effect that will allow a vessel to elevate, and “form the basis of batteries the size of a briefcase to drive your car 1000 miles at highway speeds on a single charge.” Apparently, it won’t enable a pen to write in whipped cream, but you can’t have everything.

      At different times, the company and its founder have pushed two separate approaches to generating power. First, the thermal effects from creating hydrinos would turn a turbine; and more recently, the light emissions from the unit could be converted into electricity through the use of conventional photovoltaic cells. At least some note that he hasn’t delivered on his initial promises.

      Still, few seem impressed with the grandiose promises made but never kept. Mills insisted in 1999 that he would “demonstrate an entirely new energy process by the end of 2000,” and a board member noted, “We’re past the scientific verification stage. The talk now is about commercial applications.” Later, Mills said there would be an operating commercial scale plant by 2012, then by 2013. I can find no evidence that a single plant has ever operated commercially.

      This case has many things in common with other failed new energy technologies, including a charismatic leader who generates lots of press, claims of academic validation and criticism of expert skepticism, ample fundraising, and frequent reports of interest from potential buyers. What you don’t find are actual ongoing operation of a power plant outside of demonstration models controlled by the promoter. To quote Mills himself, “the good thing about materials is that they exist, or they don’t. There’s no argument.”

      Apparently, money has flowed into Blacklight Power because some investors are impressed by the incredible claims and have faith in them, as well as perhaps naïve hope for an energy revolution. While this would seem to be an extreme case of poor judgment, the field is rife with lesser examples where a little skepticism would have had big payoffs—at least in avoided losses.

  7. TimE. says:

    Bruce DePalma and the N-Machine –

    Bruce DePalma – Inventor of The N-Machine

    Bruce DePalma graduated from M.I.T in 1954. Over the next 40 years he would conduct series of experiments which would lead to earthshaking implications regarding principals of rotating masses. This website and media presented herein is dedicated to his series of experiments and his life’s work.

    Earlier observations laid the foundation to rediscover Michael Faraday’s idea of rotating a magnet and extracting the electricity from the conductor and magnet connected together. A Homopolar design. It was DePalma’s belief that this configuration would produce efficiencies greater than 100% which would mean producing more energy out-put than the energy required to rotate the device.

    DePalma’s dream of inexpensive, non-polluting energy generators has been demonstrated world wide. The last device he built, the Quadropole generator, was reliably tested in New Zealand in 1996, and produced calometrically measured heat in excess of the total electrical energy powering the device !

    https://brucedepalma.com/

    It is WAAAY beyond my ability to understand – yet I am intrigued. And I can neither prove it right or wrong – but there it is.

  8. TimE. says:

    And ultimately what else can I say – when William Catton has already stated it – and said it best:

    CIRCUMSTANCE: The Age of Exuberance is over, population has already overshot carrying capacity, and prodigal Homo sapiens has drawn down the world’s savings deposits.

    CONSEQUENCE: All forms of human organization and behavior that are based on the assumption of limitlessness must change to forms that accord with finite limits.

    The Industrial Revolution made us precariously dependent on nature’s dwindling legacy of non-renewable resources, even though we did not at first recognize this fact. Many major events of modern history were unforeseen results of actions taken with inadequate awareness of ecological mechanisms. Peoples and governments never intended some of the outcomes their actions would incur.

    http://dieoff.org/page15.htm

  9. melitamegalithic says:

    The N machine appears to be the reverse of the ‘revolving disc’ motive source of the old electricity meters. A revolving magnet generator was one of the first type of generators for alternating currents. No great thing. Late 1890’s; pic here: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Mordey_Alternate_Current_Dynamo.jpg

    • TimE. says:

      I’m open to that – and perhaps over-unity reactions are not possible.

      Tom Bearden and many others are “pulling our chains” – entirely possible.

      SO – is there a solution to Humanity’s growing problems on a Finite Planet – other than massive depopulation and perhaps extinction?

      The Course of Empire – by Thomas Cole – perhaps this time it is on a Global Scale – instead of a Regional Scale. The *LAST HURRAH* for Mankind.

      ” A series of pictures might be painted that should illustrate the History of a natural scene, as well as be an Epitome of Man—showing the natural changes of Landscape & those effected by man in his progress from Barbarism to Civilization, to Luxury, the Vicious state or state of destruction and to the state of Ruin & Desolation.

      The philosophy of my subject is drawn from the history of the past, wherein we see how nations have risen from the Savage state to that of Power & Glory & then fallen & become extinct… ”

      http://www.explorethomascole.org/tour/items/69/series/

      The dystopian future?

      Green Soylent – It’s PEOPLE!

  10. TimE. says:

    *Breaking News*

    The “decision has already been made” to release radioactive material from the Fukushima plant into the ocean, according to its owners. Fishermen have reacted with fury to the decision, claiming it will devastate their already struggling industry.

    Under the plan the radioactive material tritium, which is being used to cool reactors whose cooling systems were damaged in the 2011 tsunami, will be released into the Pacific Ocean.

    “I’m very sorry that Tepco has been prolonging making a decision,” the new chairman of Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings (TEPCO) Takashi Kawamura told reporters on Thursday, reported Reuters. “We could have decided much earlier, and that is Tepco’s responsibility.”

    https://www.rt.com/news/396358-fukushimas-radioactive-water-released-ocean/

    Enjoy it now – while you still can….

    At least they are “Sorry” – and TEPCO has taken RESPONSIBILITY. After all – Radiation is good for you –

    • melitamegalithic says:

      The Mordey generator was one of the very first in AC generation, now near 130 years ago. Before there was none. Neither were there i/c engined vehicles for all. We have come to waste energy like there is no tomorrow. Now that may also have now come to pass.

      • TimE. says:

        I had to make sure – so here is another link:

        Despite the objections of local fishermen, the tritium-tainted water stored at the Fukushima No. 1 nuclear plant will be dumped into the sea, a top official at Tokyo Electric says.

        “The decision has already been made,” Takashi Kawamura, chairman of Tokyo Electric Power Company Holdings Inc., said in a recent interview with the media.

        Tritium typically poses little risk to human health unless ingested in high amounts, and ocean discharges of diluted volumes of tritium-tainted water are a routine part of nuclear power plant operations. This is because it is a byproduct of nuclear operations but cannot be filtered out of water.

        As of July 6, about 777,000 tons were stored in about 580 tanks at the Fukushima plant, which is quickly running out of space.

        Tepco’s decision has local fishermen worried that their livelihood is at risk because the radioactive material will further mar public perceptions about the safety of their catches.

        http://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2017/07/14/national/science-health/tepco-says-decision-already-made-release-radioactive-low-toxic-tritium-sea-fishermen-irate/#.WWlNHOmQzIU

        MOAR:

        On March 11, 2011, tsunami inundated the six-reactor plant, situated 10 meters above sea level, and flooded the power supply, causing a station blackout. The cooling systems of reactors 1, 2 and 3 were thus crippled, leading to core meltdowns that became the world’s worst nuclear disaster since Chernobyl in 1986.

        Water is being constantly injected into the leaking reactors to keep the molten fuel cool, creating tons of extremely toxic water 24/7. Although it is filtered through a complex processing system, extracting the tritium is virtually impossible.

        And according to the Paris Peace Summit:

        DEBATE: The climate agreement in Paris assumed increased consumption of fossil fuels during this entire century and five times as much nuclear energy as currently to allow economic growth to continue. This is unrealistic when access to coal, oil and natural gas will be insufficient, writes Kjell Aleklett, Professor Emeritus of Uppsala University at Global Energy Systems in the Institute for Geoscience.

        https://aleklett.wordpress.com/2017/04/07/the-paris-agreement-requires-more-fossil-energy-than-the-worlds-reserves/

  11. TimE. says:

    I had to google it – and I acknowledge my ignorance – but here is some information on Tritium:
    Link: https://www.ccpa.net/DocumentCenter/Home/View/3173

    From my understanding – which I must admit is limited – from the information provided in the link – Tritium is a short lived isotope which is akin to using a pesticide against the majority of Humanity – and I do believe that my interpretation is correct – from the link:

    T”ritium is radioactive and has a half-life of about 12.5 years, which means that half of the radioactive atoms will decay naturally in that time.”

    Further: “Tritium is a hazard only when taken inside the body (internal hazard). Tritium primarily enters the body when people drink tritiated water. People may also inhale tritium as a gas or absorb it through their skin, but exposure to harmful levels of tritium through these exposure pathways is very unlikely. Once tritium enters the body, it is quickly and uniformly distributed throughout the body, going directly into soft tissues and organs.”

    Meanwhile –

    “The rich and famous are investing millions of dollars to build elaborate underground bunkers and safe houses in what has become a booming industry for the contractors that specialize in luxury survival accommodations, according to The Hollywood Reporter”.

    http://www.offthegridnews.com/current-events/bill-gates-americas-millionaires-are-building-underground-survival-bunkers-the-future-is-going-to-be-rough/

    And: http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2017/01/30/doomsday-prep-for-the-super-rich

    But then again – all the above could be nonsense and disinformation – something which I am open to – since I have no actual access to the Players involved.

    But then again, the Denver Airport might offer some clues – in their bizarre choice of Works of Art:

    https://vigilantcitizen.com/sinistersites/sinister-sites-the-denver-international-airport/

    But what is considered Sinister – might be dependent upon one’s understanding of the current state of Mankind – which will vary dependent upon your position – status – wealth – and connections.

  12. TimE. says:

    Meanwhile:
    Oil Fields Pumping a Third of Supply Die Fastest in 24 Years
    The tussle for supremacy between OPEC and U.S. shale drillers is killing off older oil fields at the fastest pace in almost a quarter century. That could hurt the industry once the current glut has faded.

    The three-year price slump triggered by the battle for market share choked off funds for aging deposits elsewhere, accelerating their decline. Output at older fields from China to North America — making up a third of world supply — fell 5.7 percent last year, the most since 1992, according to Rystad Energy AS. It’ll drop about 6 percent in 2017 if oil stays at current prices, the consultant said.

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-07-09/oil-fields-pumping-third-of-world-supply-die-fastest-in-24-years

    • Thx1138 says:

      There is no natural scarcity of petroleum on Earth. Any scarcity is caused artificially by market makers. Oil wells which have been capped and deemed non-productive have shown themselves to be completely replenished. It turns out that petroleum is a renewable and constantly renewing resource and it is definitely not a fossil fuel.

      Rich people are building those bunkers for so-called nuclear waste because it’s not waste at all, it’s a very valuable reusable commodity and they’re putting it into these bunkers to keep it from being stolen!

      We are in no danger whatsoever from anything happening at Fukushima.

      • Thx1138 says:

        Fukushima Radiation In Pacific Tuna Is Equal To One Twentieth Of A Banana

        Tim Worstall, CONTRIBUTOR

        Nov 16, 2013 9:15 AM

        I’ve written several times here about the amount of radiation that the Fukushima disaster has spewed into the environment. And I’m always rather puzzled by a subset of the comments on such pieces. There seems to be a group of people convinced that we’re all about to drop dead from radiation exposure, that there is some vast disaster unfolding. I’m not sure why people want to believe this for it’s most certainly untrue.

        One example of what I mean is the repeated insistence that pacific blue fin tuna have become so irradiated that they dangerous to eat. When actually the Fukushima radiation that would come from a tuna steak taken off a fish caught off the west coast would be around and about one twentieth of the radiation you would ingest from eating a normal banana. Which isn’t something we normally consider to be dangerous really.

        Just as background, yes, the Fukushima reactors have indeed leaked radioactive particles into the Pacific Ocean. Some of these will indeed end up in the fish in that ocean and given that tuna are one of the apex predators in that ecosystem we would expect to see a certain amount of bio-accumulation in said fish. This isn’t something we’re happy about, of course. Even if we subscribed to the idea of hormesis (which is that a little bit of radiation is good for you) we still wouldn’t want to be exposed to it in this random and haphazard manner. But even though we’re not happy about it all we still need to consider how much radiation we’re being exposed to.

        Is it the sort of amount where we all want to run for the hills and keep ourselves several hundred miles from the ocean? Perhaps the sort of amount that might make us reduce our fish intake? Or maybe it’s the sort of amount that we can and should entirely ignore, it being so small?

        Fortunately, someone has done this difficult calculation for us. They went off and tested a whole bunch of pacific blue fin tuna for the signature isotopes known to have been released in the Fukushima disaster. The result was that a standard sized serving of fish would expose you to about the same radiation as one twentieth of a banana. Or about the same amount as one of those dried banana chips they used to sell at Trader Joe’s. Not something to get particularly worked up about in fact.

        The paper is here and here’s the general result:

        Dose to Humans. Consumption of 200 g (a typical restaurant-sized serving) of PBFT contaminated with 4.0 Bq kg-1 dry weight of 134Cs and 6.3 Bq·kg-1 dry weight of137 Cs (mean values for PBFT caught off San Diego in August 2011) resulted in committed effective doses of 3.7 and 4.0 nSv, respectively (Table 1). To put this into perspective, the combined dose of 7.7 nSv from these two Cs isotopes is only about 5% of the dose acquired from eating one uncontaminated banana (assuming 200 g weight) and absorbing its naturally occurring 40 K (28), and only about 7% of the dose attributable to the 40 K in the PBFT (Table1). More strikingly, the dose from both Cs isotopes is only 0.2% of that
        attributable to the naturally occurring 210 Po from ingesting the fish (Table 1). Furthermore, in August 2012, PBFT off California were found to have less than half the levels of radioactive Cs than were found in August 2011 (29), which would result in even lower doses to human consumers.
        Recreational fishermen are generally vulnerable to contaminated fish because they consume more fish than the general population (see SI Text: Dose Calculations for more details). A hypothetical subsistence fisherman in the United States who consumes 124 kg of seafood yearly (95th percentile of recreational fishermen), roughly five times more than an average US resident, would receive a committed effective dose of 2.8 mSv due to a year’s consumption of fish, of which 4.7 μSv is due to 134+137 Cs, assuming only radioactive PBFT with comparable quantities of radiocesium were eaten. This Cs-derived dose is approximately equal to one dental X-ray (5.0μSv), about half of the 7 μSv background dose received by the average person over a normal day (30), or 12% of the dose received from cosmic rays (40 μSv) during a transcontinental flight from Los Angeles to New York (28).

        Another way to put this is that if Fukushima has irradiated pacific tuna to the point where they’re dangerous for humans to eat then we’re all already dead from that banana sundae we had twenty years ago. We can note that sundae shops are not considered to be precursors to cancer hotspots (obesity is another matter of course) and thus take comfort in the fact that the tuna is just as safe to eat as it always was.

        http://www.forbes.com/sites/timworstall/2013/11/16/fukushima-radiation-in-pacific-tuna-is-equal-to-one-twentieth-of-a-banana/amp/

      • Thx1138 says:

        One gram of caesium-137 has an activity of 3.215 terabecquerel (TBq).

        The Pacific Ocean is estimated to contain 187 quintillion gallons of water.

        It is (said to be) the most problematic of the short-to-medium-lifetime fission products because it easily moves and spreads in nature due to the high water solubility of caesium’s most common chemical compounds, which are salts. So if one gram of cesium 137 is dissolved in the entire Pacific Ocean, do you have a big problem?

        If so, your odds of encountering even one atom of this cesium 137 is 1.60427807e-8, less than 2 in a hundred million. This most certainly must be considered a low dose.

        Your odds of being struck by lightning this year are 1 in 960,000. In your lifetime those odds drop to about 1 in 12,000. Your odds of being struck by lightning twice in your lifetime are 1 in 9 million, which is still a higher chance than winning the Powerball.

        For USA and Canadian folk worried about the tiny amounts of bad isotopes floating in from the ocean. It can barely be detected with leading edge instruments in North America. It is harmless. I heard recently that tuna contains 400% more radioactive cesium since Fukushima. This is true but is not an issue since the natural levels of cesium can barely be measured. Thus 400% greater than nothing is not worth worrying about. The radioactivity of the natural radioactive potassium is 10,000 times higher than the cesium.

        Hormesis is the stimulation of any system by low doses of any agent. It is defined as the bio-positive response of something which is bio-negative in high doses[2]. Although the origin of hormesis hypothesis was from pharmacological studies, various studies have shown that there may be hormetic effects in low dose ionizing radiation. Although the belief of “No-Safe-Level” is still widespread, this acclaim is disproven by numerous positive biological effects of low dose ionizing radiation that are reported in hormetic or stimulatory models[3]. Recently, many scientists have clamored not to deprive people of bio-positive effects of low dose ionizing radiation and even proposed an annual single low dose ionizing radiation for everyone[4-7].

        In the 1960s, a group of French researchers showed that parasites, protozoa and bacteria which received ionizing radiation below the normal background level, had a reduced reproduction rate. Their study disclosed that ionizing radiation was essential for the survival of those microorganisms[8].

        In a research on mice, the incidence of leukemia, sarcoma and other cancers in irradiated mice with Cesium-137 at dose of 2.5-20 mSv was lower than the non-irradiated control group. The total number of malignancies in animals which were irradiated at dose of 10 mSv was approximately 30% lower than the non-irradiated group. Other studies also demonstrated the increased survival of irradiated animals at dose of 250-3000 mSv [9].

        Ionizing radiation and a complex of other DNA damaging factors such as UV rays, alkylating agents, oxidants and heat shock can induce responses in order to recompense the initial insult. The obtained results of expand international studies specified that when cells were exposed to low dose of ionizing radiation and other DNA damaging agents, they showed higher resistance to high dose of the same and in some cases similar factors[10].

        Adaptive response theory was reported for the first time in 1977 by Samson and Cairns. After discovery of this important phenomenon, it was determined that ionizing radiation could also induce this effect. In 1984, Olivieri et al. showed that exposure of human lymphocytes to labelled thymidine with tritium resulted in resistance against cellular damages due to high dose of X-rays. Their results known as “Radio-Adaptive Response” was very noteworthy since they represented that the radio-adaptive response reduced chromosomal aberrations in lymphocytes by roughly 50%[11].

        Till now, numerous reports on the possible mechanism of the occurrence of adaptive effects and its factors have been published all over the world. In Iran, Mortazavi et al. have published several reports about the importance of radio-adaptive response, its effect on protection against radiation, role of natural radiation in occurrence of this effect and especially the incidence of radio-adaptive response in residence of high natural radiation areas of Ramsar County, Mazandaran Province in Iran.

        Have no fear!

  13. TimE. says:

    “There is no natural scarcity of petroleum on Earth. Any scarcity is caused artificially by market makers. Oil wells which have been capped and deemed non-productive have shown themselves to be completely replenished. It turns out that petroleum is a renewable and constantly renewing resource and it is definitely not a fossil fuel.”

    The issue of whether or not Oil is a fossil fuel is moot – only the quantity available at any given moment of time is relevant.

    As for “petroleum is a renewable and constantly renewing resource” – you provide no quantitative numbers at which it is re-generated – thus – if one uses more than can be re-generated over a specified amount of time – depletion still sets in – and the resource becomes scarce.

    Magical thinking of resources as being infinite on a finite Planet seems a bit illogical and irrational to me. But then again, perhaps, I only need to BELIEVE.

    Gamma Radiation does indeed seem to provide some benefits –

    Radio-adaptive response is a mechanism whereby a low-dose exposure (priming dose) induces resistance to a higher dose (challenging dose) thus significantly reducing its detrimental effects. Radiation-induced DNA damage gets repaired through various DNA repair pathways in human cells depending upon the type of lesion. The base excision repair (BER) pathway repairs radiation-induced base damage, abasic sites and single-strand breaks in cellular DNA. In the present study, an attempt has been made to investigate the involvement of BER genes and proteins in the radio-adaptive response in human resting peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMC).

    https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/25958388

    Since the government has declared that radiation is good for me – so be it.

    Well – there may have been some discharges – from Fukushima – of longer life radioactive isotopes – but the true damage will only be only known in the future. Perhaps the continuous exposure to the radiation will only induce resistance to radiation poisoning and promote beneficial evolutionary changes to life on Planet Earth.

    http://www.annualreviews.org/doi/full/10.1146/annurev-marine-010816-060733

    So why don’t the Europeans throw off their chains of slavery – demand more – and reverse the dictates of Austerity? All they have to do – is import more cheap fuel from Middle Eastern and African Countries – since they seem to have very few resources on their own land – surely – their militarizes are strong enough to support that demand – by force – if necessary.

    My suggestion is that Europe trains the unwashed hordes of Islamic Refugees invading and swarming all over Europe into becoming Janissaries of the European Empire and thereby retake their former (now lost) colonies in the Middle East and Africa, enslave the locals as workers dedicated to energy production, and send that Energy (unlimited oil and natural gas) back to the European Empire so that austerity is eliminated and prosperity will be guaranteed for all.

    It is a *WIN* *WIN* for all – and, after all, the Islamic horde invading Europe is put to good use.

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