Successful Pandemic Panics employ the Four Graphs of the Apocalypse.
The First Graph of the Apocalypse
The first step towards producing a Pandemic Panic is to commission a really scary prediction of the Approaching Apocalypse.
Whether the prediction is valid or accurate isn’t important.
It will only be used in the early stages of the Pandemic Panic.
What’s important is that the First Graph of the Apocalypse is really scary.
The predicted peak death rates exceed the 1918 Chicago peak.
The Second Graph of the Apocalypse
The second step in the Pandemic Panic involves publishing a series of really scary cumulative graphs that portray an Accelerating Apocalypse.
It helps if the Second Graph of the Apocalypse tracks grey data that’s not strictly defined because grey data can be actively managed to make sure it looks really scary.
A casual consumer won’t know whether Active Cases includes: Number Tested, Tested Negative, Tested Positive, Tested Positive Asymptomatic, Tested Positive Symptomatic, Tested Positive Hospitalised …
The Third Graph of the Apocalypse
The Art of the Apocalypse delays the Third Graph of the Apocalypse.
The key to success is patience.
Wait until the underlying data turns the corner and begins to flattens out.
During this waiting period the policy makers: Wave Their Arms About, Talk About Flattening The Curve, Hype Up The Heroics, Hype Up The Hysteria …
The waiting period is all about Dither and Delay.
When the data finally begins to turn the corner and flatten out then:
1) The policy makers make their move
2) The producers deploy the logarithmic Third Graph of the Apocalypse.
The logarithmic graph visually emphasises the flattening out.
This helps to make the actions of the policy makers look really effective.
Furthermore, even if the policy makers make the situation worse the logarithmic graph will visually minimise the impact of their [accidental or deliberately deadly] policy blunders.
The latest Financial Times graphic for covid-19 cases per country shows that the U.S. case numbers are now literally off the scale.
U.S. Virus Cases Are Off The Scale
Moon of Alabama – 31 March 2020
The Fourth Graph of the Apocalypse
The logarithmic Third Graph of the Apocalypse is used during the period of siege warfare when the policy makers slowly starve out [or destroy] the opposition.
When the policy makers have achieved their objectives then the producers of the Pandemic Panic finally deploy the Fourth Graph of the Apocalypse.
The Fourth Graph of the Apocalypse is invisible.
It doesn’t exist.
At this point it doesn’t matter what’s actually happening.
The policy makers simply declare victory and no more graphs are produced.
End of story.
Students studying the Art of the Apocalypse may find it worthwhile to review the following worked example of the Four Graphs of the Apocalypse.